What this estimate does not include
▼This quote is the MEDIAN of what commercial customers actually paid, from a dataset of completed transactions, not a modelled best case. About half of comparable projects came in below it and half above. A buyer who shops hard and takes competitive bids should beat it by roughly 10%; that is the 20th percentile, and it is where published industry cost benchmarks tend to sit.
• Where you are within your state matters more than which state you are in. Across 17,562 completed commercial sales, your corner of the state explains roughly four times as much of the price as your state does, and the gap is widest at the 100–1,000 kW sizes this tool is built for, where the state you are in stops mattering at all. Expect around ±9% either side of our figure on location alone, and up to 40% between the dearest and cheapest parts of a single state. We adjust for state and genuinely cannot see the rest.
• But about half of that is who quotes you, not where you are. Following individual installers across areas, the same firm carries only about 43% of the local price gap with it, the rest is which companies happen to work in your area. That makes it worth getting a quote from a firm based outside your immediate area, because a good part of a local price premium travels with the installer rather than with the site.
• Interconnection study fees and utility upgrades are not included. These vary enormously by utility and can be trivial or project-defining, and no utility publishes them in a form we can look up.
• Roof repair or replacement is not included. If the roof has less remaining life than the array's 25-year warranty, doing both at once is usually cheaper than doing them separately.
• Structural reinforcement, ballast engineering, or snow and wind load remediation where a structural review requires it.
• Public and school projects cost more, and we apply that, measured at about +17.5% over private commercial, and closer to +50% on smaller school projects. If you are a public body, procurement rules are the most likely reason your bids exceed a private-sector benchmark.